Hysteria Debunked: 63% Fewer Hurricanes in Last Half of the Century Than First Half
Forget the bull feces about 97% scientific consensus about manmade global warming. Forget also the anthropogenic climate change sob story about the frequency and intensity of hurricanes and tropical storms. It’s thoroughly debunked by statistics.
Even as leftist troll mongers feed the beast of their constant hatred of Donald Trump, their efforts to demonize both the man and his EPA rollback of economy-crushing “Cap and Trade,” regulations by blaming him for hurricane season lack one important component: Facts and statistical evidence.
Even as network news reporters lean dramatically into wind gusts that others seem comfortable strolling against in shorts, (shown left) meteorologist and climatologist Joe Bastardi says the leftist hysteria about a supposed increase in the frequency and power of hurricanes in the modern age is pure bunkum. Bastardi says a simple survey of a list of named storms shows immediately that in the past 100 years or so, the latter half of the century has seen fewer overall storms and arguably, smaller and less intense storms than in the first 50 years of the past 100.
And it’s not a small drop.
At a time when mankind is technologically more adept at detecting, measuring and tracking tropical storm activity than ever before, Bastardi says a semi-centennial comparison between the two halves of the last century shows clearly that the United States has seen a 63% drop in storm activity in the past 50 years from the 50 years before that. Beyond that, Bastardi says it’s arguable that the largest storms of the earlier 50 years were much more powerful than the worst hurricanes of the last 50 years, Katrina, Harvey and Andrew included.
Noting the predictable liberal hysteria and the obvious politicization of Hurricane Florence this week, Bastardi opined about what has been the heartbreak of his adult life: seeing the raw fascinating power of Mother Nature reduced to a discussion over energy policy that he says has scant little to do with meteorological impacts on planet earth.
“You have to understand, we’re talking about the love of my life when we discuss storm power and the sheer awesomeness of these weather systems on display,” Bastardi said. “Loss of human life and property damage are the major concerns of course, but to miss out on the broader scientific opportunities of storm observation and the cataloging of natural phenomenon is a tragedy of the present political argument,” Bastardi said.
Bastardi called the fixation about anthropogenic or “man caused climate change,” a ridiculous conflation of human variables that are small and weak with much larger fluctuations in more pervasive contributors to global climate such as ocean temperature and solar energy cycles, which currently indicate the start of an 11-year cooling period for the sun known as a Maunder Minimum. Bastardi and other climatologists believe the “Triple Crown” of planetary cooling could make Earth dramatically cooler in the next 30 years, thanks to a decline in sunspot activity, increases in atmospheric impacts from airborne volcanic particulate and changes in oceanic storage of solar heating.
“Have we warmed slightly in the past 20-30 years? Yes,” Bastardi said. “Is that warming normal and cyclical as compared with and related to other cycles that we see happening in the weather systems of the planet? Yes,” Bastardi said.
“More importantly…are we about to enter a cooling period that will extend an already 20-year pause in the warming cycle we’d seen previously? Absolutely, yes.”
–Climatologist Joe Bastardi
“More importantly, are we about to enter a cooling period that will extend an already 20-year pause in the warming cycle we’d seen previously? Absolutely, yes.” Bastardi said.
“Is all of this going to make the climate change crowd and the handwringing idiots obsessed with lowering the human standard of living look really stupid? Also, yes and yes.” Bastardi said.
Bastardi used even the inability of forecasters to predict the landfall intensity of Hurricane Florence as an object lesson about the lunacy of computer models and predictions which purport to summarize and quantify planetary weather trends for decades or even centuries into the future.
“Here you have a storm that looks like a category six or seven and everyone is convinced it’s going to be a world beater and by the time it hits land it’s barely a two and while it causes inland flooding and a big lifestyle headache for a lot of folk, it simply didn’t materialize in the doomsday proportions that some had expected,” Bastardi said.
“Human beings are barely able to tell ourselves whether to wear a sweater or shorts from one week to the next. Predicating whether someone can buy an SUV based on a computer model telling us that we’re going to see dramatic warming for the next 20 years is ridiculous.”
Almost as ridiculous as the lengths reporters and anchors are going to these days to make us believe that they’re risking life and limb to do their best Dan Rather impression.